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DDoS attacks almost always originate from hacked devices. The country/countries that the traffic originates from has never been an indicator of who's behind the attack. Musk's implication that Ukraine was responsible for the Twitter DDoS attack based on seeing some traffic originating from Ukrainian IPs is just dangerous speculation.

I've mapped botnet professionally for a decade, and all that looking at IP addresses locations tells you is the geographical distribution of compromised devices. When you plot this kind of data of chart, you typically just get a heat map of population density, slightly skewed by economic factors. Nations with larger populations tend to have more devices, but developing nations tend to have a higher percentage of older less secure devices, which are more likely to be hacked and recruited into botnets.

Techsorcist

@malwaretech Attribution has always been a major problem, for the defending side. Its why the low-level cyberwarfare going on in the world is a constant. You dont know who is behind it, not beyond a reasonable doubt anyway. Off course other methods of intelligence gathering can get you their data.

So Elon Musk going after on this is him walking willingly into the attribution trap set by him/Putin/Trump. Basically a false flag operation. Rationally there is nothing to gain by Ukraine in doing this. And I dont believe they are petty enough to do this.

BUT

is. He would be petty enough to do something like this himself. So he might just actually believe it IS Ukraine because he would do it.

Regardless the continues with Musk either the usefull idiot or the usefull accomplice.